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2005-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% -
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 9.8% 90.2% -
Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% -
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% -

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Olson 34 6-12 3-6 0-0 4 3 1 2 4 15 9 -
K. Archibeque 30 7-10 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 1 5 16 10 -
D. Jefferies 27 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 5 2 0 2 2 5 -
M. Gordy 20 7-9 0-0 3-5 3 1 2 0 2 17 12 -
D. Birden 20 3-5 0-1 1-3 5 1 0 0 7 7 1 -
M. Kline 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 5 0 0 3 6 4 -
J. Lewis 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
S. Taibi 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 6 2 -
C. Lowe 11 0-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 4 0 0 2 2 4 -
D. McDaniel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shewmake 29 3-8 0-2 8-9 10 0 1 2 3 14 16 -
M. Efevberha 28 6-10 2-5 4-4 2 3 0 0 5 18 8 -
B. Altheimer 25 0-5 0-2 0-2 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. Washington 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 7 6 -
J. Hill 18 1-1 1-1 2-4 0 3 1 0 3 5 5 -
R. Haynes 16 2-3 1-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
J. Miller 15 4-6 0-0 3-3 2 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
R. Walton 12 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 0 4 6 -
A. Powers 11 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
K. Everage 10 2-5 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
J. Heard 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
D. Smith 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 -

* = starter