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2005-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% -
Margin 24.9% 75.1% +6.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.8% 44.2% -
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.7% 14.3% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Charlo 32 6-13 1-3 5-7 3 3 2 0 4 18 9 -
N. Fazekas 27 2-9 0-3 2-2 8 3 0 0 2 6 6 -
M. Kemp 27 9-14 2-2 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 24 13 -
K. Shiloh 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 3 5 -
R. Sessions 22 3-5 0-0 3-6 3 0 1 0 3 9 5 -
C. Bell 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 4 0 1 -
D. Johnson 16 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 3 0 4 8 -
L. Burleson 14 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 5 4 1 -
D. Ellis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Umeh 34 7-15 1-2 3-6 3 1 1 0 2 18 6 -
D. Villepigue 32 2-2 0-0 1-4 9 1 0 0 3 5 10 -
W. Adams 28 4-17 1-4 0-0 2 1 3 0 2 9 -4 -
L. Amundson 24 6-9 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 2 4 13 8 -
J. Petrimoulx 23 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 -
C. Terry 21 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
R. Morgan 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -
G. Essengue 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 2 5 5 -
J. Johnson 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Rougeau 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Darger 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter