Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | -2.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +6 (85-79). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cuyler | 41 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| K. Young | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Vogelsberg | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Lake | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Blue | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Morrison | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Howard | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Hudson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Moss | 40 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 14 | - |
| G. Moore | 39 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 29 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Wise | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Evans | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| E. Booe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter