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2005-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Canisius Golden Griffins St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 โœ“ (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +22 (77-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Canisius Golden Griffins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Downey 35 7-12 1-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 17 8 -
C. Herring 33 3-10 2-6 0-0 7 3 1 1 3 8 7 -
D. Wilson 30 5-9 0-0 2-6 2 0 0 2 1 12 6 -
C. Harris 23 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 4 2 -
J. Popofski 19 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
O. Matti 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
B. Wackerly 16 1-6 0-3 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
J. Young 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
R. Sargeant 8 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
A. Byrd 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Hanley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 38 10-18 3-6 7-10 10 1 0 0 4 30 19 -
T. Diggs 37 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 2 2 4 -
A.J. Hawkins 31 4-8 0-1 0-0 5 4 3 0 0 8 12 -
P. Lottin 27 8-13 3-6 3-7 8 1 3 1 1 22 21 -
P. Williams 24 3-10 0-0 3-5 9 1 0 0 3 9 6 -
M. Lee 22 1-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
I. Carson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Dunston 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Kovacevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter