Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +1 (91-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 47 | 13-24 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 12 | - |
| W. Williams | 44 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott | 32 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| N. Plummer | 27 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. White | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Cripe | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Bennett | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Little | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Binnie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Funk | 45 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 15-18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 28 | - |
| J. Mathies | 42 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 5-8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 41 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Watts | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Tolliver | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Motz | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Day | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| N. Porter | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | - |
| P. Hibma | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter