Model Predictions
| Model | Albany Great Danes | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +27 (80-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Albany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Zoellner | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Wilson | 34 | 3-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2 | - |
| J. Iati | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Levine | 27 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Wilson | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Jordan | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Siggers | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Connelly | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Covington | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Graham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Knotts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 33 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Hudson | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Spain | 27 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| R. Williams | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Sharper | 20 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Camara | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Lamb | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. McGrath | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter