Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 38 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| R. Marentez | 35 | 5-9 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 35 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Boone | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lang | 36 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 29 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Flynn | 29 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Bode | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Ball | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Pattman | 18 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Mosley | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Hammick | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Meyer | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. McMillan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Barnett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter