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2005-11-25

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 6.3% 93.7% -
Bradley-Terry 8.0% 92.0% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.9 (2.9 off)
Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harris * 30 5-16 2-6 1-1 7 2 1 0 3 13 4 -
C. Devine * 28 1-5 0-1 0-1 2 3 2 0 3 2 1 -
J. Davis * 22 2-4 1-1 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 8 6 -
C. Brown * 21 4-10 1-5 1-2 1 1 3 0 3 10 2 -
C. Goettsche * 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 2 5 3 -
J. See 24 4-10 3-6 0-0 3 1 4 0 3 11 6 -
T. Garlepp 12 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
L. Hurdle 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 1 3 -
M. Chambers 11 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
C. Ajufo 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
G. Turner 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Noel * 32 7-12 0-0 0-3 8 1 2 1 1 14 13 -
T. Hansbrough * 29 5-10 0-0 5-8 11 3 1 1 3 15 18 -
B. Frasor * 25 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 6 2 0 4 12 10 -
R. Terry * 20 4-7 0-0 4-6 6 2 2 0 5 12 10 -
M. Ginyard * 19 3-5 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
W. Miller 21 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 8 8 -
D. Green 20 3-8 0-3 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 8 8 -
Q. Thomas 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 1 4 1 0 1 4 7 -
B. Sanders 13 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Copeland 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Wilkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Burke 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
W. Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter