Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Terry * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Miller | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Sanders | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Wilkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter