Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Galloway * | 40 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| I. Swann * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Rich * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Webb * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| D. Romero | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Wilson | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| U. Echefu | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Breeden | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Mims | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Allen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green * | 38 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 15-16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | - |
| L. Humphrey * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 13 | - |
| A. Horford * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Noah * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Richard | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| W. Hodge | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Moss | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Huertas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter