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2005-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.1% 82.9% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (3.4 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Oliver 34 2-15 0-4 1-2 6 1 2 0 4 5 -5 -
C. Mitchell 30 1-7 0-5 2-3 8 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
A. Claborn 29 4-7 1-3 7-7 8 1 0 0 3 16 15 -
L. Blake 26 8-11 4-7 4-6 3 2 2 0 4 24 16 -
A. Hayles 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
R. Lott Jr. 17 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
M. Morton 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Richmond 14 1-3 1-3 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
J. Bosh 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
T. Ray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McGriff 28 5-12 0-0 7-12 8 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
C. Smith 28 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 2 4 -
M. Jointer 26 3-9 2-5 6-10 3 4 0 0 1 14 11 -
R. Law 25 3-5 0-1 4-4 5 3 1 1 2 10 13 -
C. Christie 23 6-8 1-2 1-2 7 1 3 0 3 14 14 -
J. Collins 20 1-3 0-2 3-4 3 2 2 0 2 5 7 -
M. Phillips 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 4 8 -
D. Bennett 14 3-4 1-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
S. Cowherd 12 0-1 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
L. Buboltz 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter