Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Collins * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Chiotti * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| T. Danridge * | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| M. Walters * | 30 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| B. Harden * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Prentice | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hart | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Box | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 38 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| A. Wright * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Stewart * | 28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Diarra * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Harris * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Hoskins | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| M. Taybron | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Hughes | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Yearby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Afeli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter