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2005-11-23

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.0% 24.0% -
Log Adjusted 76.3% 23.7% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -2 (63-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Boone * 33 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
C. Austrie * 33 1-4 1-3 3-5 5 4 0 0 3 6 8 -
D. Brown * 32 4-11 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 9 4 -
M. Mulchrone * 31 2-4 0-0 1-5 7 2 1 5 2 5 14 -
R. Gay * 21 5-10 0-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 10 1 -
R. Anderson 22 5-9 3-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 14 9 -
J. Adrien 12 4-6 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
R. Garrison 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Nelson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 36 2-12 0-7 4-4 1 4 0 0 1 8 0 -
A. Morrison * 36 8-19 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 18 5 -
J.P. Batista * 32 7-16 0-0 5-6 8 2 1 0 2 19 12 -
S. Mallon * 24 2-4 1-1 0-0 7 2 0 2 1 5 11 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes * 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
J. Pargo 26 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 2 1 -
D. Pendergraft 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
L. Gurganious 9 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
J. Heytvelt 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Diallo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter