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2005-11-23

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 39 9-20 4-9 6-8 5 7 2 0 5 28 17 -
A. Afflalo * 35 5-10 3-5 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 14 8 -
C. Bozeman * 32 3-9 0-1 5-7 5 0 1 0 1 11 7 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 29 1-5 0-1 2-5 7 1 2 1 4 4 6 -
R. Hollins * 19 2-5 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 3 0 8 10 -
M. Fey 21 5-11 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 1 0 13 7 -
D. Collison 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 2 -
M. Roll 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. * 33 6-12 0-2 4-4 3 2 1 0 4 16 6 -
S. Williams * 32 10-13 5-7 1-2 7 4 0 0 4 26 20 -
A. Anderson * 32 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 5 1 0 2 7 10 -
R. Carney * 31 5-11 2-5 5-7 3 1 3 1 2 17 12 -
J. Dorsey * 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 3 0 7 15 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 14 2-4 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
R. Dozier 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
K. Cooper 9 2-4 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
A. Allen 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
W. Williams 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 0 1 2 5 -

* = starter