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Arkansas Razorbacks 65
@
Kansas Jayhawks 64
2005-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 97.5% 2.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 95.7% 4.3% - ✓
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -60.4 ✓ (59.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - ✗
Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% - ✗

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 36 7-21 3-6 6-9 2 3 2 0 2 23 7 -
S. Hill * 32 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 2 6 -
D. Jefferson * 31 5-6 1-1 2-2 1 5 4 2 5 13 14 -
J. Modica * 29 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 8 8 -
C. Thomas * 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Townes 27 4-8 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 0 0 10 10 -
E. Ferguson 24 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 7 0 -
C. McGowan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. McCurdy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Rush * 33 8-10 2-2 2-4 1 3 0 1 3 20 12 -
R. Robinson * 32 4-10 0-3 0-1 5 2 2 0 1 8 6 -
J. Hawkins * 31 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 10 0 0 4 3 7 -
C.J. Giles * 27 6-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 12 7 -
S. Kaun * 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 1 6 10 -
J. Wright 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 1 2 4 6 -
M. Chalmers 16 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 11 4 -
C. Moody 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
M. Downs 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter