Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Thomas | 32 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Lasme | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| R. Freeman | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Maxwell | 28 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Viggiano | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Lowe | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Life | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Bowers | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Carrier | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Johnson | 35 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| B. Winters | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Grant | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. McKillop | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Sander | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Morton | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Richards | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Lovedale | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Meno | 10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| E. Blancett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter