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2005-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.2% 34.8% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.4% 20.6% -
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% -

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -6 (75-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Criswell 36 5-8 3-5 11-11 5 1 1 0 4 24 19 -
V. Matthews 34 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 9 4 -3 -
A. Strait 34 8-8 0-0 3-4 9 1 1 0 1 19 21 -
M. Martin 33 3-10 1-5 5-6 3 7 4 0 5 12 11 -
J. Hasquet 20 0-4 0-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 1 2 6 -
M. Dlouhy 18 3-7 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 7 4 -
K. Sharp 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
M. Chavez 11 4-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 1 1 9 8 -

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Worthy 33 10-18 2-4 4-4 6 4 4 0 1 26 21 -
W. Wardrop 32 3-11 2-6 1-3 2 2 1 0 2 9 1 -
M. Knight 29 4-12 0-0 10-15 5 0 0 0 4 18 7 -
A. Miller 25 1-6 1-2 1-2 4 4 3 0 2 4 7 -
A. Miller 25 1-6 1-2 1-2 4 4 3 0 2 4 7 -
C. Ayer 24 2-3 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 4 2 6 16 -
K. Brooks 22 1-6 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
J. Ziri 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 1 -
D. Pegram 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Montgomery 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Haywood 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter