🐻⬇️🏀

@
2005-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% -
Log Adjusted 68.8% 31.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horner * 36 1-10 1-6 2-2 1 8 0 0 2 5 2 -
A. Haluska * 34 2-9 1-5 4-5 4 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
G. Brunner * 33 6-12 1-2 4-7 12 2 1 1 4 17 17 -
D. Thomas * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 3 6 8 -
E. Hansen * 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 5 2 6 7 -
M. Henderson 31 4-9 0-0 7-9 7 0 4 0 1 15 16 -
T. Freeman 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
A. Thompson 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
S. Gorney 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rondo * 33 1-9 0-1 3-4 19 5 2 1 5 5 18 -
R. Sims * 26 8-15 4-6 2-4 7 0 0 0 2 22 12 -
P. Sparks * 24 2-5 2-4 1-2 0 2 1 0 3 7 2 -
J. Crawford * 11 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 2 4 -
M. Adetula * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Moss 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
B. Perry 24 3-8 1-3 5-6 3 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
R. Bradley 20 2-5 1-3 2-3 2 1 0 1 3 7 3 -
S. Thomas 20 0-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 -2 -
L. Obrzut 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Carter 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter