Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +1 (83-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Copeland | 31 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Hall | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Osborn | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Freeman | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Obazuaye | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. King-Stockton | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Roby | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Coleman | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Eddy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Smith | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | - |
| C. Lewis | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| S. Morris | 31 | 10-18 | 9-16 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 20 | - |
| M. Morris | 27 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| S. Gilling | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| F. Robinson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Harris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Patterson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter