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2005-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 4.8% 95.2% -
Bradley-Terry 11.3% 88.7% -
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.5 (21.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% -

Actual: USC Trojans -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Efevberha 41 7-19 3-6 3-4 7 1 2 1 4 20 8 -
J. Miller 32 3-6 0-0 4-5 7 1 0 0 1 10 11 -
B. Altheimer 29 2-6 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 5 5 -2 -
J. Heard 28 6-12 1-2 2-4 4 2 2 0 1 15 10 -
T. Shewmake 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 3 6 6 -
D. Smith 20 2-6 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 4 -
J. Hill 16 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
R. Haynes 16 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
K. Everage 13 3-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Washington 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Powers 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Pruitt 44 3-20 0-10 4-7 6 6 4 1 6 10 1 -
R. Francis 40 4-14 1-4 3-4 5 4 2 0 4 12 5 -
R. Cromwell 35 8-11 0-0 1-2 12 0 3 2 2 17 21 -
A. Betz-White 32 6-13 0-4 0-2 5 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
N. Young 31 6-10 2-2 4-4 10 3 0 0 3 18 18 -
S. Odzic 19 2-7 1-6 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
A. Ndiaye 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 2 7 -
J. Barr 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Shackleford 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Gaudino 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter