Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (28.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +28 (78-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lopez-Low | 33 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Marentez | 32 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -2 | - |
| V. Oliver | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Boone | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Carter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3 | - |
| L. Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Bazy | 30 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 27 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Golob | 23 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Landry | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| S. Sir | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Hensley | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Seckold | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Refner | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter