Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +16 (64-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pugh | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Long | 28 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Anderson | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Herring | 22 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Mays | 22 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| R. Hood | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Hartwell | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| O. Johnson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Doaks | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Troupe | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Edmondson | 29 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -2 | - |
| D. Slater | 29 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Gordon | 22 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| R. Delk | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Houston | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Boler | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| W. Morgan | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter