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2005-11-18

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 99.2% 0.8% -
Bradley-Terry 90.0% 10.0% -
Margin 96.4% 3.6% -18.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 72.8% 27.2% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves -19 (56-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gay * 34 5-14 1-2 4-6 10 3 1 5 4 15 16 -
J. Boone * 32 6-7 0-0 6-8 12 2 0 1 3 18 23 -
C. Austrie * 31 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 1 2 5 5 -
M. Mulchrone * 27 3-4 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 4 5 8 11 -
D. Brown * 24 4-12 2-3 6-7 6 1 2 0 1 16 12 -
R. Anderson 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
E. Nelson 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
M. Johnson 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Garrison 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Adrien 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gerrity * 33 6-10 0-0 7-8 3 4 1 0 4 19 13 -
G. Barlow * 31 5-16 0-3 0-0 8 0 3 0 0 10 5 -
J. Henry * 24 1-7 0-0 0-3 5 0 1 3 0 2 4 -
T. Forehan-Kelly * 23 1-7 0-1 1-2 1 0 4 0 1 3 0 -
W. Galick * 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Grubb 24 4-10 1-2 0-0 8 1 2 1 2 9 9 -
C. Roush 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Oakes 15 4-11 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 8 1 -
T. Pranciliauskas 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Costain 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
C. Horning 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter