Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | -3.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -13 (57-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 34 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 26 | - |
| C. Lewis | 34 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Morris | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Harrison | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Morris | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - |
| S. Gilling | 18 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Brown | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Patterson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taibi | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Archibeque | 32 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Olson | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Gordy | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Kline | 24 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| D. Birden | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Jefferies | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Lewis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Lowe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter