Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.8% | 86.2% | +10.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +21 (81-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fisher | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -1 | - |
| M. Clark | 32 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Stribling | 31 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Rivers | 27 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4 | - |
| J. Jones | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Boyd | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Taylor | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| F. Kabore | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Bryant | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Smiley | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Williams | 32 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Scott | 30 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Roberts | 30 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Binnie | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Bennett | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Cripe | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| N. Plummer | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. White | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Penno | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| W. Brady | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter