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2005-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Robert Morris Colonials St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 66.9% 33.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 โœ“ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +19 (80-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Chappell 40 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 1 1 1 0 8 9 -
Derek Coleman 40 2-8 1-4 2-2 5 6 0 0 2 7 8 -
C. Boston 31 4-13 2-7 6-7 4 1 0 0 4 16 4 -
S. Lancaster 21 4-8 4-7 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
J. Clark 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
F. Harris 20 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 10 2 -
D. Palmer 19 2-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 2 1 7 5 -
C. Senat 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Smith 34 4-12 1-3 2-3 10 9 2 0 2 11 18 -
A.J. Hawkins 33 6-10 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
T. Diggs 32 2-5 2-5 2-2 4 6 0 0 0 8 13 -
M. Lee 27 4-9 0-1 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
P. Lottin 25 7-11 7-10 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 21 15 -
P. Williams 19 4-4 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
I. Carson 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
W. Dunston 8 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
I. Kovacevic 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
T. Benson 6 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
D. Fox 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter