Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Matthews | 39 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Martin | 30 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| A. Strait | 27 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Criswell | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 19 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| K. Sharp | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Ellis | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Chavez | 10 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Mayes | 9 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lane | 36 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| C. Karl | 35 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| T. Tiedeman | 26 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Bauscher | 26 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| T. Banks | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| S. Robinson | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Wilson | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Hallberg | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter