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2005-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.7 โœ“ (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +38 (107-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Schroeder 32 10-14 6-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 26 17 -
S. Morrison 27 3-16 0-0 2-2 10 2 0 4 0 8 8 -
R. Sommer 26 2-6 2-4 2-2 1 5 1 0 3 8 6 -
J. Kamara 22 3-8 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
T. Hollist 21 2-7 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 6 1 -
K. Sconiers 16 1-5 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 0 2 5 4 -
P. Hafford 16 2-8 2-6 0-1 3 0 3 0 2 6 2 -
J. Neeley 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 0 -2 -
M. Angui 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Mara 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Locke 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jefferson 27 2-5 0-0 4-5 5 15 1 0 4 8 20 -
J. Modica 27 6-10 2-5 2-2 1 2 3 0 1 16 11 -
J. Payne 27 9-16 3-6 3-4 2 2 5 0 0 24 17 -
C. Thomas 23 7-12 0-0 6-7 7 2 2 0 1 20 18 -
D. Townes 23 7-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 7 4 14 18 -
S. McCurdy 23 2-2 1-1 2-2 4 6 0 0 4 7 11 -
C. McGowan 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
P. Cranford 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
S. Hill 14 3-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
S. Munsey 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter