Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +3 (52-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bausley | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Freeman | 31 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Adams | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Harris | 26 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Hargrave | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Perry | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Lange | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Woods | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Roberts | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Gulina | 33 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Peterson | 30 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Merritt | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C. West | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Black | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter