Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -13 (49-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 39 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Hood | 35 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. Frye | 25 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Holum | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Henke | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Golob | 35 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Bazy | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K. Landry | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Wilson | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Sir | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Hensley | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter