Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +5 (86-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Head * | 41 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| David Wesley * | 41 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Derek Anderson * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Burks * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lawrence Roberts * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mike Miller | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter