Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -4 (90-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 41 | 3-17 | 1-8 | 6-11 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derek Fisher | 27 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Miles | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andris Biedrins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 40 | 11-18 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 32 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Devin Brown | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jarron Collins | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kris Humphries | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Robert Whaley | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Owens | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter