Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +11 (92-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 46 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 41 | 9-23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff McInnis * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Zoran Planinic * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 39 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eddie House * | 10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
* = starter