Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -6 (114-120). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 55 | 6-22 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 53 | 10-32 | 2-10 | 17-19 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 20 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 39 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 36 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 21 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 55 | 8-21 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 55 | 12-28 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 4-17 | 3-10 | 10-11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 35 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Carlos Delfino | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter