Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (105-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elton Brand * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 35 | 6-19 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | -1 | - |
| Chris Kaman * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Daniel Ewing * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Quinton Ross * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Howard Eisley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 37 | 11-17 | 1-2 | 12-14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 30 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Greg Buckner * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson * | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Earl Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter