Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +1 (90-89). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emeka Okafor * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 38 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Primoz Brezec * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sean May * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 43 | 10-23 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 11-21 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Dan Dickau * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Orien Greene * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Justin Reed * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Al Jefferson | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter