Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (68-73). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Whalen * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brooke Wyckoff | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 38 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 26 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jurgita Streimikyte * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Deanna Jackson | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tan White | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter