๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2005-09-08

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Houston Comets Spread Result
Elo 77.8% 22.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Margin 55.4% 44.6% -1.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Comets -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kara Lawson * 35 5-13 2-5 0-0 7 2 3 0 2 12 9 -
Yolanda Griffith * 35 6-15 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 2 0 14 13 -
Chelsea Newton * 33 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
Nicole Powell * 29 3-8 2-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 8 3 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 21 4-7 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 8 3 -
DeMya Walker 28 4-9 0-0 3-4 3 6 0 0 1 11 10 -
Kristin Haynie 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba 15 3-7 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 8 4 -
Olympia Scott 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 42 7-19 3-6 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 19 4 -
Dominique Canty * 37 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 0 5 3 7 -
Tina Thompson * 36 6-9 1-4 5-6 7 0 0 3 3 18 16 -
Michelle Snow * 30 4-9 0-0 6-8 6 1 1 2 4 14 11 -
Janeth Arcain * 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Dawn Staley 26 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 4 2 0 4 3 5 -
Tari Phillips 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Sancho Lyttle 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter