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2005-09-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 โœ— (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—

Actual: Seattle Storm -17 (58-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 35 6-13 0-2 2-2 10 10 2 0 5 14 18 -
Tina Thompson * 34 7-13 2-2 0-0 6 4 1 2 0 16 16 -
Dominique Canty * 31 5-10 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 0 4 15 5 -
Janeth Arcain * 29 6-8 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 7 -
Michelle Snow * 26 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 2 3 5 -
Dawn Staley 21 3-4 2-2 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 10 9 -
Tari Phillips 15 0-2 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
Edwige Lawson-Wade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kiesha Brown 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Roneeka Hodges 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Sancho Lyttle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 34 4-14 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 10 -2 -
Sue Bird * 34 2-8 0-4 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Betty Lennox * 29 5-11 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 12 4 -
Janell Burse * 28 2-6 0-0 4-4 4 2 0 0 0 8 8 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 25 2-8 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 -1 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 14 3-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 3 7 7 -
Alicia Thompson 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tanisha Wright 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 2 7 -
Francesca Zara 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
Simone Edwards 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Natalia Vodopyanova 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter