Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 39 | 9-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| K. Smith | 34 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| C. Ford | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Riley | 23 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Cash | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| K. Braxton | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| E. Powell | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - |
| P. Pierson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 15-17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 35 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Sales | 31 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| K. Douglas | 31 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Dydek | 28 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Jones | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter