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2005-09-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Sacramento Monarchs Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 โœ“ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“

Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +18 (81-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chamique Holdsclaw * 37 3-12 0-0 1-2 7 2 2 0 3 7 3 -
Nikki Teasley * 34 4-11 1-5 5-6 2 5 1 0 1 14 10 -
Tamika Whitmore * 29 5-10 1-1 4-6 2 1 0 0 6 15 2 -
Raffaella Masciadri * 26 4-10 3-7 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
Lisa Leslie * 26 1-5 0-0 4-6 8 2 3 2 0 6 16 -
Christi Thomas 17 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
Edniesha Curry 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -3 -
Doneeka Lewis 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
Laura Macchi 7 1-3 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Tamecka Dixon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ticha Penicheiro * 32 4-6 0-0 5-6 6 6 3 0 2 13 20 -
Nicole Powell * 29 2-7 2-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 8 3 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 27 5-10 0-0 1-3 6 1 1 0 2 11 7 -
Yolanda Griffith * 24 5-13 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 0 1 13 8 -
Chelsea Newton * 21 2-4 1-1 4-6 2 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
Kara Lawson 20 3-10 2-6 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 11 3 -
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba 17 4-6 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 2 1 10 10 -
Olympia Scott 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
Kristin Haynie 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
Erin Perperoglou 5 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 1 0 2 7 -

* = starter