Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.7% | 71.3% | +5.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (72-80). Ratings: 2006 season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Dominique Canty * | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Tina Thompson * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Janeth Arcain * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Dawn Staley | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tari Phillips | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 37 | 7-19 | 2-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Belinda Snell | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sandora Irvin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lisa Harrison | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter