Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -6 (63-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 38 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| N. Williams | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Miller | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Jackson | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. White | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 31 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| N. Sales | 30 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| L. Whalen | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Douglas | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Dydek | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Wyckoff | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter