Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. DeForge | 32 | 5-14 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -2 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| B. Snell | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Robinson | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Harrison | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| N. Ivey | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Powell | 30 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Y. Griffith | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| K. Lawson | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. Brunson | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Newton | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| H. Maiga-Ba | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| O. Scott | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Haynie | 7 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter