Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ohlde | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| C. Jones | 25 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Abrosimova | 24 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| K. Mann | 20 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Williams-Jeter | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Jacobs | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Harrower | 18 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Lassiter | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 25 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Robinson | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| B. Snell | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Harrison | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Irvin | 16 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| N. Ivey | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Taylor | 5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter