Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Shock +14 (66-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Beard | 35 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| C. Melvin | 34 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 27 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Page | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Koehn | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Chones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Sanford | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 38 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Smith | 31 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Ford | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Cash | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Riley | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Powell | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter