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2005-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% -
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 36 9-17 6-11 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 25 11 -
M. Moore 33 3-10 1-6 1-2 2 3 1 0 3 8 1 -
C. Smith 33 3-11 0-3 0-0 3 4 4 0 1 6 5 -
J. Terrell 19 3-7 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 1 2 11 11 -
J. Holwerda 19 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Carroll 18 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 5 3 -
D. Przybyszewski 17 2-5 1-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
T. Skuchas 9 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
D. Cage 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Gordon 7 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
A. Metcalfe 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rice 36 4-10 2-6 1-3 3 1 2 0 2 11 5 -
D. Washington Jr. 35 5-8 1-1 12-13 1 7 3 0 5 23 21 -
R. Carney 31 8-13 2-3 8-9 2 0 1 3 0 26 19 -
D. Erwin 30 2-5 0-0 6-6 15 1 1 3 3 10 22 -
Arthur Barclay 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 2 8 -
W. Williams 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Hunt 10 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
J. Dorsey 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 2 3 6 -
A. Thiero 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Njoya 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter