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2005-08-18

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 โœ“ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nicole Ohlde * 32 6-10 0-0 5-7 2 1 1 1 2 17 10 -
Chandi Jones * 22 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 6 3 -
Kristi Harrower * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
Svetlana Abrosimova * 15 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
Vanessa Hayden * 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tamika Raymond 30 4-11 0-0 0-1 14 0 1 0 1 8 11 -
Tynesha Lewis 22 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Amanda Lassiter 21 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
Stacey Lovelace 13 1-7 0-2 2-3 4 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
Kristen Mann 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Amber Jacobs 9 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 7 5 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 33 2-5 2-5 3-5 5 9 0 1 4 9 15 -
Lauren Jackson * 32 6-11 2-4 4-4 11 0 1 4 2 18 21 -
Iziane Castro Marques * 29 5-11 2-3 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 16 9 -
Tanisha Wright * 21 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 1 3 0 4 7 7 -
Janell Burse * 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Francesca Zara 23 3-6 0-0 1-2 0 3 0 0 1 7 3 -
Suzy Batkovic-Brown 18 1-5 0-1 1-1 6 1 0 2 2 3 5 -
Simone Edwards 12 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 0 0 7 6 -
Alicia Thompson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Natalia Vodopyanova 1 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter