Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| R. Riley | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Ford | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Cash | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Braxton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| E. Powell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Lambert | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Farris | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 39 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Wright | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Harrison | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter