Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (56-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 37 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| N. Williams | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Miller | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Jackson | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Streimikyte | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. White | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. DeForge | 38 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| M. Stepanova | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 33 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Robinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| S. Wright | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| L. Harrison | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter