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2005-08-12

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Monarchs Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 64.9% 35.1% -3.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Monarchs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Powell 28 6-11 4-5 4-4 3 1 3 3 2 20 17 -
T. Penicheiro 27 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 2 4 -
Y. Griffith 26 3-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 6 0 -
R. Brunson 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 10 9 -
K. Lawson 23 1-2 1-1 3-3 3 2 0 1 2 6 8 -
D. Walker 18 5-9 0-0 1-6 3 1 0 1 5 11 2 -
C. Newton 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
O. Scott 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
H. Maiga-Ba 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
S. Feifei 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Lijie 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. DeForge 37 4-11 2-4 4-4 2 5 1 0 2 14 9 -
P. Taylor 36 8-11 0-0 7-7 5 4 3 1 3 23 22 -
M. Stepanova 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 5 4 1 14 21 -
K. Vodichkova 26 3-8 0-0 6-8 4 2 3 1 1 12 13 -
D. Taurasi 19 3-6 0-2 5-5 1 1 0 1 4 11 4 -
L. Harrison 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -3 -
A. Robinson 15 1-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 1 1 2 5 -
B. Snell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
N. Ivey 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter